Betting research and analysis: how to do it

To be a long term winner, you take to know the basics of handicapping. Here are a few mere strategies to approach soccer betting research.

Home and Away Records
The first thing you ought look at is how well a team plays at home or away. Some teams are horribly bad on the road, but good at home. Some top teams never lose at home, but often draw away. Look for patterns; they often repeat themselves.

Recent Form
Check the results of both teams from their last 6 matches. A lot teams are streaky: they win a bunch of games, then have a string of losses. This is one area where you will be able to be a step ahead of the bookie, because he inclines to center the league table positioning more than recent form.

Team News
This is all important. Is a key player missing? Is the coach resting his regular starters? Has a influenza virus infected the whole squad? Occasionally a team will field a entirely second-string group of players, but the bookies will be slow to adjust their odds. This is a great way to make use of bookies who do not do their preparation.

Head-to-Heads
Compare past match-ups between 2 teams. Does one team incline to win more often? Does the game often finish in a draw? Search situations where one team has a 80% or higher winning record against the other club. That's a profitable bet in the long term.

Motivation
Some teams come into a game highly motivated, desperate for a win. Others are distracted for various reasons, such as an important upcoming game. Try and judge each team's motivation. Just beware of reading too much into this. A team in a "must-win" situation will fail to win more often than you think.

Upcoming Fixtures
Scheduling is important. Some teams are involved in European and national cup competitions on top of their home leagues, so they are forced to juggle several matches in their schedule. This often forces a team to make sacrifices, because it's impossible to play with 100% effort if you have a game every 2 or 3 days. Find out what games matter most in the schedule and adapt your wagering accordingly.

Coming to grips with the betting odds?

The big game is about to begin, you have done your research and backed the home team at 7/4; you grab a beer and take it easy waiting for the beginning. While you wait, do you ever question exactly what those betting odds mean?

If not, maybe you should, it can throw a lot of interesting light on what your chances of winning the bet actually are. In the case above they're saying that should this same match be played eleven times then the home team will win four times and not win seven times. A different way of looking at it is thru probability, which tells us that the home team has a 36% probability of winning and a 64% chance of not winning.

Betting odds and probability are often confused by novice and inexperienced punters, and most appear to believe they're the same thing. They're not, they are tight related, but they're different.

Probability is a real number between 0 and 1, where 0 represents 0%, that is, there's no chance of the event happening, and 1 represents 100%, that is, the event will happen, nothing can stop it. Betting odds, on the other hand are used to express the ratio of the probability of the event happening against the probability of it not happening. It sounds a bit boring put like that, but let's look at a simple example to make it clearer.

Assuming an honest coin, when flipping that coin the probability of it coming up heads or tails is exactly 50% as these are the only 2 outcomes possible. It means we have a 1 in 2 chance of getting the result we want. Expressing this in Odds we would get 1/1 or even money.

To roll a six on a six-sided die, assuming the die is honest, gives us a probability of 16.66%. This is since the die has six sides and 100 divided by six equals 16.66. Put differently we have a 1 in 6 chance of rolling the number we want. Expressed as odds this is 5/1.

So how do we calculate the probability when we only have the odds?

Well it depends in what format your odds are written. The two most widely applied means of expressing odds are fractional and decimal. Fractional odds have been around in the United Kingdom since betting started, while decimal is the method used by most European countries, though it's acquiring in popularity in the UK since the introduction of betting exchanges and most internet bookies now offer the choice. Given the choice, decimal is now my favored option, it's much easier to work with.

When converting fractional odds to probability we need to divide the right hand side of the fraction by the sum of the left and right hand sides and multiply the answer by 100. When written like that it looks complicated, but it really isn't. Let's do an example:

Odds of 7/4 converted to probability.
7/4 becomes 4/(7+4) which is 4/11 = .3636
Multiply by 100 and the answer is 36.36 so our probability is 36.36%
A couple more examples:

5/4 = 4/(5+4) = 4/9 = .4444 = 44.44%

4/1 = 1/(1+4) = 1/5 = .20 = 20%

When converting decimal odds to probability things get really simple, all we have to do is divide 100 by the decimal odds.

So faced with decimal odds of 5.0 we simply divide 100 by 5 as follows:

100/5 = 20 so the probability is 20%

A couple of more examples of decimals to probability:

1.25 = 100/1.25 = 80%
1.90 = 100/1.90 = 52.63%

Not only is it easier to see what chance the bet has as a percentage, but it as well gives us the ability to see exactly how much of a profit the bookmaker is really making. To do this we need to convert all the odds on an event into percentages and then add them together. Any sum over 100% is the profit that the bookmaker is making on that event.

Taking match betting odds on a football match as an example, there are 3 potential results home win, away win or draw. Assuming the game is priced as follows:

Home win = 1.75 (57.14%)
Away win = 3.9 (25.64%)
Draw = 3.5 (28.57%)

Logically the final result of an event can only be 100%, but we can see here that by adding up the probabilities (in brackets) we in reality arrive at a total of 111.35% this extra 11.35% is called the overround, it's the profit that the bookie is anticipating to make on this result and is generated by offering worse odds on the event than the factual true odds.

STRATEGIES FOR BETTING

Betting strategies exist for a long time. Typically, these strategies are planned moves, which aim to increase the probability of winning. They build scaffolding, which can be used to answer the question: "how to bet," when to bet and when to stop bet ". Here we mean the set of rules and tools that the player can apply to increase the probability and chance for success and profit

Betting strategies we can qualify in two groups:-stakes strategies with a greater likelihood of success, but with less profit;-stakes strategies for greater profits, but with less chance of success.

It must be clear that no system or strategy that can guarantee success absolute if the outcome of an event can not be known or predicted time for a given strategy.

There are several well known systems of money management that are used by players: Martingale, order numbers, the Kelly criterion and others.



















MARTINGALE

















Martingale is one of the most familiar strategies for management of the Bank (the money down to bet) impeccable in theory, this strategy requires a very large bank that has a very low return, it may predict poor and still make money.

How does the strategy MARTINGALE:

You start with a bet of one unit by a factor of meeting more than or equal to 2 (two). If you win the next bet is equal to the first, if you lose - a doubling your first bet. Every time you lose, double your last bet. Eventually you should not ever know the outcome of a meeting and then restore the money from all your lost bets plus a profit equal to the first bet. Then the soil again.



The principle of MARTINGALE:

1 - 2 - 4-8 - 16 - 32-64 ....



No doubt a fantastic strategy if you have unlimited funds, nerves of steel and a cool mind. Remember that in the seventh lost a bet, following must be 128 shares, but chances are the same as the first bet.

Martingale admittedly not a good system for managing money for the average player because of the high level of progression in the betting, which is enshrined in it.















The order of the numbers

The order of the numbers is not like the Martingale. While Martingale can quickly return your bets win, the order of numbers does not make it so quickly, but at the same time off and exploding the growth of the bet.
This system gives you many more options than the Martingale, because you can actually calculate your bets in a more satisfying way. The bad thing with it is that you can write numbers on a piece of paper and additions when you lose, and striking when you win. It should also have a strong control on betting, so to speak. But let's see what it is:
First decide how much you want to win. For example, 1000 Euros. Then you decide how much time will it take you to reach your goal. This is the hardest part, because when you win, you must remove the first and last number in sequence, but when you lose you must add.
As a result, you should try to calculate the average probability to earn a hard place. If you want to play with matches, the coefficient is about 2.00, then let's say that the probability of winning is around 40%. Much better to underestimate than to overestimate their capabilities. If you overestimate, you will need to catch, raising the stakes, and exactly what action is very uncomfortable, if you enter a bad run.
Imagine 1000 euros divided into 20 gains of 50 euros to calculate how long you will earn 1000 euros, you have 40 percent success rate at an average rate of matches from 2.00 (50% chance means that you are together with the bookmaker) .
With 40 percentchance guess correct object by a factor of 2.00 you would have lost 60% of its forecast. So typically lose 50% more often than they win (60/40). In case of success you will have to remove two numbers of leaves (first and last). When you lose, save for one number at the end. A sample list might look like:

50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50

How to determine the first bet?
As explained above, the first and last day will be removed if you win. 50 + 50 = 100. To earn 100 euros, you will need to use a pledge to bring you a net profit of EUR 100. If the given coefficient is 2.00, you have to bet 100 Euros. If the ratio is 1.50, you can bet 200 euros. If it is 1.75, the bet must be 133.33 euros. The formula for calculating the bet is:

Net
----------------------
coefficients. - 1

Bets for your next match should be calculated in the same way. If the first time you bet 125 euros a factor 1.80 and you lost, you must write the rest125 at the end of the sheet. Your next bet should be the sum of the first and last digit of the leaves, ie 50 + 125 divided by the coefficient minus one: ((50 +125) / (koef. - 1)). Of course, replace the current ratio of one for the object you selected. If you win, you need to remove фирст and the last digit in a row and then start over with 50 + 50/koef.-1 again.
Even if it is fraught with potential progression uncontrollable bet, this system is as dangerous as the Martingale. If you enter a bad run, things can easily spiral out of control. Just because your calculations before you bet on are important. Before you start this system, do so try it out at some time about a month. So you will learn the system and will understand the importance of humility when deciding their ability to predict correctly.



Kelly Criterion

Systems like Martingale and order numbers using high levels of progression, removing limits on players. With these systems, stakes successively increase in losses and thus the players there is a huge risk of bankruptcy.
In the Kelly Criterion progression grow until you win and decreases when you lose. The amount of the bet is determined by the percentage of the amount of your funds. In the Kelly Criterion risk of bankruptcy is virtually eliminated. However, this system requires the player to prevail in the projections to the bookmaker. When you bet using Kelly is expected to be equally or better than bookmakers. If the home is estimated at 2.00 with a match, you bet if you think there is at least 50% chance of winning.
Criterion Kelly received its name from John L. Kelly, an American who discovered the theory and formula. Briefly, the theory of Kelly says that if you can determine with great accuracy the approximate outcome of matches, then by a formula you can determine the exact amount of your fund means that you should set the appropriate match. The formula looks like this:

A = P - (1 - P) / (koef. - 1)

And - this is the percentage of funds separate from you, you can bet on games (column).
P - is likely to receive such an outcome.
If you found an object by a factor of 2.00 and think it likely to win the match is 55%, the formula of Kelly's easy to calculate how much to bet. Q in this formula in this example is equal to 0.55 and the result of calculation shows A = 0.1.
This percentage means that the object is worth 10% of your total funds. Nothing more, nothing less. If you are too optimistic in their expectations (for example, believe that the subject is worth 60% instead of 55%, which are "calculated" in advance and more accurately), then you will lose your money.
This is due to the fact that the formula of Kelly discovers and optimizes bet if you know its accuracy to predict. If you are too optimistic in its forecasts, you will lose money. If you are too pessimistic, will earn money, but less than if you handle with free bets (but small profit is still profitable).
Size of fund game
For starters you need a pool of money for a game that exceeds 10-15 times the normal amount of money you bet a single example. Of course, this should be money you can afford to lose. Remember that in the Kelly Criterion, you can not lose all your money at once, because the stakes are always determined by the current state of your balance.
To choose the games properly and often enough is the hardest part of this system. Only through the accumulation of experience you can become a better player. The bookmakers do not offer enough "good bets" and it is therefore necessary to find them yourself. Do not expect to find more than 2 to 5 games during the week. When you find such a game, analyze it carefully from all sides.
Duration of the project?
How long should play in this system? If you set a goal, you have to put off the moment you reach it and start over. This is the only way to find out how much you earn and this will raise your morale and discipline. If you have not set up a target, put an end to project the moment you reach 100% pure profit. Remember that while your money is the bookmaker's account, he, not you have them. And what's the point of earning money that you can not use?
Let us now examine the system closely:
The biggest advantage of Kelly is that you lose less money when you have little money of account. This is due to the fact that every bet is a percentage of current balance when it is low, the stakes too low. If the average stake is 10% of your balance and lose 6 times in a row, you will still have 48% of the original amount. I will not bore you with statistics, but if you predict well (bet 10% advantage over the bookmaker), the chance to lose 10 times in a row is 1 / 3000!
Kelly is a system that can quickly change your balance. With Kelly you make a small range, about 5% of every match. If you present yourself well, Kelly helps you increase your bet and winnings. If you lose - they decreased. Because this did you happen to suffer serious changes in the balance. Kelly is a system for players who do not gamble for money and pleasure of good prognosis.

CONCLUSION:

If you are a player who is willing to risk (if you like gambling) and predict well (more than half the estimates are correct), then Martingale and order of numbers are your systems. Be aware of the risks posed by these systems. Progression there is absolutely desperate and can end your project well before it started really.
If you are not willing to risk, but you know that you can predict with less than 50% success, then Kelly is your system. Kelly is a system of professionals, a system for those who strive for perfection. System that optimizes the movement of funds and brings you win each time you have an advantage in outcome over the "enemy", ie bookmakers.

Rules to stay disciplined at Soccer Betting

It is not easy to win money systematically from betting. Less than 5% of gamblers are successful at it. The number one pitfall for most punters is lack of discipline. The following rules will make your betting more profitable and help turn you into a consistent winner.

1. Choose a staking plan. Set aside a sum of money to use for your wagering, and nothing else. This should be an sum you can afford to lose. You ought risk between 1% and 5% of your bankroll on each bet, with most bets being in the 1-2% range. Poor money management can bankrupt even the most talented sports bettors.

2. Keep detailed records of all your bets. All pro gamblers do this. By recording every single one of your bets, you can identify patterns. Isolate types of bets, leagues or teams you consistently win or lose money on. You are able to then refine your strategies and become more successful. Record keeping as well keeps you disciplined and discourages you from placing frivolous "fun" bets, which unavoidably lose.

3. Never force a bet. Only bet when you have an edge over the bookmaker. Always be patient, even if that means letting several days go by without betting. Would you rather win a wager on an obscure South American league match or lose one on the Champions League final?

4. Avoid multiples and accumulators (parlays). It's fun to string five or six bets together in a combo for a juicy payout. But you will never become a successful punter betting that way. Follow singles for the big majority of your bets. As you become more comfortable, there are some occasions where it makes sense to combine 2 bets in a double, but that's the exception, not the rule.

5. Narrow in two or three leagues only. You can not be an expert in every league even if you had all the time in the world. It just isn't humanly possible. So stick with what you know, and learn that league inside out. Money is money, it doesn't matter whether you win it betting on Greek football or the Scottish 3rd division.

6. Study betting odds movements. Keep an eye on the betting market and look for big shifts in odds on a particular football match. Try and determine out why the betting odds might have changed. Is a key player injured? Is it a big-name team that's popular with punters? If you can't explain why the odds moved, you may be better off skipping a particular match.

7. Do not get emotionally involved. If you have a favourite team, don't blindly back them every weekend because you hope they will win. Use your knowledge of a particular team to your advantage and know when to bet against them.

8. Do not second guess yourself. Trust your own skills and instincts when analysing a game. Whenever you list and rank all the reasons for betting on a certain match, the first one that comes to mind is generally the most important. Do not be scared to pull the trigger on a bet if a secondary factor alters, like a slight turn in the weather or a peripheral player getting injured.

If you follow these rules tight, you are on your way to becoming a serious and successful soccer punter. Stay disciplined, don't stray from the rules and you'll find that soccer betting is more fun when you win money from it!

Successful Soccer Betting Strategies

Bet on a team not to lose.

A good type of wager is where your team does not even have to win for you to make profit. It's called Double Chance, because you back two results: a win and a draw. If you can identify a situation where one team is remote to lose, this kind of bet could be attractive to you. But keep in mind the odds will be lower than merely backing a team to win.

There are a several situations where this could be a of value bet, but one of the basic is when one team is playing for a draw. Try and precise a game where one team's aim is just not to lose. A club employing such a negative strategy will very seldom win. Even whenever they bring home the bacon in drawing the match, your Double Chance bet against them is a winner.

Another time this bet comes is handy is when a team is missing their key striker who scores most of their goals. Some clubs rely on a single player up front, and when he's injured they become useless at scoring goals. Quite frequently the betting odds will not adjust far adequate to reflect this. So you are able to bet against those teams and be somewhat confident the best they can do is draw.

There are other types of bets which are equivalent to Double Chance. The half ball Asian Handicap (+0.5 or +1/2) lets you combine a win bet and a draw. Similarly, laying a team to lose on a betting exchange like Betfair has the same effect.

Back teams that know how to score goals.

If you are gambling hard-earned cash on a bet, at the least back a team you can count on to score. Try and avoid encounters between mediocre teams who sit in the middle of the league table. Frequently these matches are most unpredictable: a home win, away win and draw are all possible results.

An alternative is to look for powerful, high scoring teams that have no trouble finding the back of the net. These are often the elite clubs of a league: Bayern Munich, AC Milan, Barcelona etc. But this is what most amateur punters do, so the bookies will almost always offer poor odds on the best teams.

A better strategy is to bet against extremely weak teams. Every conference has one or two hopeless sides who lose every weekend. These bottom-dwellers are occasionally given too much credit by the bookmakers. Look for a situation where a decent or even below average club is playing at home against a awfully bad away team (one of those clubs that's 0-1-9 on the road for example). The bookie will often set the odds on the home side slightly below even money, say at 1.75 when it should really be much lower, like 1.50. Similarly the Asian Handicap will be -3/4 ball when it should be at least -1. If you can identify the whipping boys of a league, this is precisely the sort of situation where it is profitable to bet against them.

Believe it or not, luck can play a role in that type of strategy. Talented teams make their own luck and find a way to win (how many times have we seen Juventus or Chelsea sneak a 90th minute goal and win 1-0?). On the flip side, weak teams are often unfortunate and the bounces just seem to go against them.

Look for strange home and away form

Playing on home turf is a big advantage in most football leagues. Support from the thousands of screaming fans gives a boost to the home club and restrains the visitors. Teams perceptibly struggle in away games, and even top clubs can not copy their home form. Naturally, the bookies know this as well as anyone, which is why the odds are shorter on a team playing in their own stadium.

But there are exceptions to the rule, and these can be very profitable if you find them.

Some teams will not fit the pattern and will in reality play better away from home.

Here are a few examples from the 2005/2006 season in England, Italy and Spain:

Wigan home: 7 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses
Wigan away: 8 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses

Treviso home: 1 win, 4 draws, 13 losses
Treviso away: 1 win, 8 draws, 10 losses

Deportivo home: 6 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses
Deportivo away: 9 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses

As you can see, Wigan, Deportivo and Treviso all had better records on the road. There are different explanations for this. Occasionally a team feels too much pressure from its home fans. Other teams acquire different playing styles and tactics in away games, which are often more successful than their game strategy at home.

But how does this affect your betting? Even though we have spotted this strange pattern, the bookmakers will go forward to make their odds accepting these teams have a bigger home advantage than they actually do. That creates value betting opportunities, because the odds on Wigan, Deportivo and Treviso will be bigger than they should be in away games. Likewise, it's worth betting against these teams when they play at home, for the bookies are factoring in home advantage where there's none.

Bet on the draw

Many punters have a hard time predicting draws, so it's not surprising the draw isn't the most popular type of bet out there. It's much more fun settling for a win anyway. So why bet on a stalemate? Because it pays well! Draws should not be the commonest outcome you pick, but there are times when it makes sense to back them. Try and find a match where both teams will have a bad time breaking each other down. One way of doing this is seeking matches between an in-form mid-table side playing at home against a top-table away side. E.g., match-ups from the 2005-2006 season that fit this profile might be Bolton vs. Liverpool, Lazio vs. Juventus, or Villarreal vs. Real Madrid. The visiting team has the quality to escape the game without losing, but they as well have trouble scoring against an in-form home side. Both teams in that situation are happy to settle for a draw, and that's rather frequently the result. Another fast and easy way to identify potential draws is to study the Asian Handicap odds. Look for games where the handicap is set to (0) or level ball. This means both teams are relatively equally matched and the bookies don't want to offer a head start to either team. Games like this tend to draw more frequently than you might believe.

Soccer Betting

Shop around, equate odds at different bookies!

Pro punters commit many hours per week browsing for the best betting odds, and will often spend a lot of time in this enterprise than handicapping. Applied that the pros are betting high limits each week, it's time well spent even if it adds only 1% to their bottom line. But how can the ordinary wagerer making $100 bets get the best price without turning betting odds looking into a full-time job?

Preparation is half the combat, so before beginning to handicap, have your money set. Ideally, you will take reward of reduced price bookmakers which offer better value than other net sportsbooks. Plus you should also have one or two "recreational bookmakers", which use inflated lines on the favorites.

It's also a fine idea to keep a enough sum of cash liquid in a NETeller account, where it can be put in play promptly. Most sports bookmakers directly credit accounts with NETeller deposits. Even limiting betting odds comparison to only 10 minutes every week, this minimal amount of preparation still adds 1% to your expected return.

Another tactic bettors can use to ever have the best odds doesn't involve whatever additional effort, but instead accents the significance of timing. Instead of handicapping during mid-week or Friday for weekend games, gamblers should start analyzing next week's games right away after the current weeks' matches have finished. Reviewing English football games Saturday night or Sunday morning and Italian league games on Sunday evening, gives punters one more money-making opportunity - betting into overnight lines.

Some sportsbooks will post overnight lines on all major sports. Soccer odds usually go up Sunday night, but can be volatile when the lines are first posted. These odds don't have to be very sharp since early betting quickly tightens prices against lower limits.

A popular anecdote among some linesmakers is that the first few bets taken on any overnight line are always sharp bets. These bets are made by smaller punters who have already analysed the matches and don't mind the lower betting limits. The early bettors are usually long-term winners, and are amid the few that actually get the best betting odds all time. But it's worth giving up this edge to the early sharps because they provide an invaluable service by sharpening the odds, allowing bookmakers to raise limits to significant levels. Without these early "$100 geniuses", sportsbooks like Pinnacle Sports, for example, could not offer $30,000 limits on EPL matches.

I can't emphasise strongly enough that if your average bet-size is $500 or lower, the best thing you can do to win more is bet into overnight lines. This is particularly important with the smaller soccer leagues or markets like total goals. If betting into early odds seems somewhat intimidating, try this experiment: For 4 weeks, watch the opening lines. When making bets, keep a record of whether you would have got a better price on the opening odds, or against the closing line. Nearly all punters will find that with the exception of important injury news or varying atmospheric condition*, the betting odds moves during the week give them a worse price than if they had bet it earlier.

For those already doing handicapping early and using a fair sportsbook selection, there are other ways to be a better line shopper while still keeping your day job.

If you are willing to spend just a bit more time bargain-hunting, the better time to do it is when the odds are changing more rapidly. E.g., say the line at a top sportsbook is moving against you, try place your bet at a recreational bookmaker that changes its lines more slowly. As an alternative, if you wish the direction of the odds change, wait for the market to even out, and take the best price. The key is to acknowledge when these movements happen. After the normal bouncing around of opening lines, there are two other factors that normally cause considerable moves: injury news and big bets before game time.

In the last hour before a match kicks off, there are often dramatic changes in the betting odds. This is often caused by large gambling syndicates, who wait until close to post time when the betting limits are highest at all bookmakers. If you are prepared to stare at a live odds screen for the hour before a round of matches kick off, you'll find a lot of line moves that are large enough to scalp. Waiting until this time to place your bets lets you either bet at the fast-moving sportsbook sites (like Pinnacle Sports Book, for example) or the slower moving recreational bookies, depending on which way the odds move.

Injury bets are a different way to make a bundle, but betters must be prompt on the trigger. When a star player is announced as in question or out of his next game, there will be an tremendous amount of wagering action. The premier sports books may either take the game offline, circle the game and set lower limits, or considerably change the odds when the news comes out. Beating the bookie to the punch gives an almost certain opportunity to scalp by betting the other side after the odds movements. Even if you miss the early surge, many smaller sportsbooks will leave their old odds up.

Bet On Sports With My Sure-Money System and Win 97% Of Your Bets!

My soccer betting strategy

Dear fans of football(soccer) betting

Soon we are entering into the 5rd year of our relationship. For the past 24 months have received not 100s but 1000s of reviews here that contact address on the Internet. Most letters contain gratitude - both for specific predictions, and for regular schemes offered game. Some fans advise me in one direction or another, for which I am grateful to them. There are many questions, including those to which I have already answered your site or personal letters. Because it is not possible to write to everyone individually, use the start of the section "Forecasts for 2010 to share some of observations which will be important in the way we play in each of the upcoming editions.



Aside from betting on certain chaotic meetings, it is worth paying attention to two types of game - by doubling the bet in singles and through combinations.



* 1. Game by doubling the stakes.

This method of participation was widespread a few years ago when the circulation of "Eurofootball" had only five or six singles or "Stars". Singles is a game that does not need to combine with others, and we, under the terms of the bookmaker, to play alone. This is important because the more matches there are in a bet, the more likely you are to lose. We strive to play as much as possible simple guided us - either spontaneously, it was realized - to "stars."

For several years, almost every game is "Star." However, now we can play with doubling as a select choice of us sign a series of meetings in order to accumulate the stake until the desired character out. It is important factors that will doubled to more than 2,00, we have to win.

I've played with the smallest and the largest, and the average rate, for example to match that ratio is 2.20 to 1 for X - 2.80, for 2 to 2.40. The highest profits doubling the biggest sign. Let's say we have today pledged € 10 for the coefficient 2.80, but the sign does not go. Tomorrow I bet 20 still not out on the third day's play with 40 and miss. We invested a cumulative 10 20 40 = 70 euros and receive 2.80 h40 = 112, or our profit is 42 euros. If we doubled the smallest sign and we hit it, as in the previous example, the third time, revenue is 2.20 h40 = 88 euros, while profit is 18 euros.

This way the game looks tempting, but in its purest form it is only apparent. You'll see it, looking statistics matches the smallest sign that I made throughout 2008. The table below we see which way out of the smallest character in the series of matches for the doubling and the number of exits for the road. For example, the following meetings from me the smallest character has gone a total of 1473 times. In 636 of cases this sign is out again, which for purposes of analysis called exit from the first time, ie without a break from muff to muff. In 354 of the cases the sign has not come immediately, ie the first of a series of games, but came out the second time. And so on.

In 88% of cases we hit 2.20 coefficient in the fourth time in 94% - the fifth in 96 percent - the sixth. This enticed us that even the sixth time to double, making a pledge to build 10 +20 +40 +80 +160 +320 = 630 euro, in most cases it will be profitable. But what about when the sign out of the 9 th, 10 th or 12 th right time? In my personal betting I'm doubling to 10 th time, but for most players this means sure bankruptcy.

As already mentioned, observed by me, 2.20 coefficient is out 1473 times. Starting doubling it, we are at a loss.

A similar picture when tripling the bet.

Illusion of easy profits are up and playing with a doubling the 2.80(the biggest coefficient).
And here we could say that once in 80-90 percent of cases the biggest coefficient is out at the fifth and sixth time we can play safely and successfully. But if it comes out of at the 12 th or 25 th time? Accumulations are so great that hardly anyone can afford them.
Losses in doubling the biggest coefficient are significant. Even greater when we are tripling the bet.

Better are the possibilities if we start to double it after failing to come up four times in a row, etc.
We see that in this kind of game profits within a year was decent. You already may sound trite, but even here our success is uncertain. Because the bookmaker has many opportunities to our counter - as changes coefficients, making singles triples, blocking bet on certain games. Problem is betting larger sums: by going to the points you want to play with more than thousand, call headquarters, asking for permission, if not get it, you must break the pledge of smaller amounts and walk around several points, and always have time for that.

Yet, while the smallest coefficient makes sense to begin not at the first time, but in the middle - the fourth, fifth and sixth time, in the biggest coefficient that does not help. (As you can see, do not give statistics on the average mark, since it's worse).


Written here does not mean we should abandon doubling the stakes. Rather, this is the surest way to not only return ur money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how. Some of them will, however, reflected on the pattern for the game, and those who trust my predictions will win.

I've seen in print media and online bad reviews about the big amount of money I bet within a year. For example to win with the proposed schedule of play total 58,850 euros must bet 46,470. Some authors think that these 46,470 euros must have at the beginning of the year. Actually, it is sufficient to start with 300-400 euro. Part of winning is being bet again and gradually leads to the total cost and total profits up to 12 months.

Of course, I know for many, this initial amount is impossible. So many times I've written online, I'll say it now again, people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.

Once you have read part of my "soccer betting bible", you can to try it to be successful!

Sports Betting Tips

Football / soccer betting advice

Expert betting football advice here is Best Bet advice, free football betting guide, football gambling guide, best football betting advice, football betting advice. Free bet guide to soccer / football, football football gambling picks.com expert advice / guidance in the network.

As a pro player will

1. If you start winning, you do not increase your bets now.

2. Do not bet until the day of the game, so you have the latest rates and information movement.

3. Find the best odds from online bookmakers.

4. Do not bet on team that won 5-6 games (Asian Handicap only) in a row.

5. We advise you bet that team lost 5-6 players make (Asian Handicap only) in a row.

6. If possible, place a bet on the favorite team.

7. Not borrow money for betting, limit your place bet.

8. Careful on the chances of movement betting against the favorite.

Good luck on sports betting ... Soccer team gets